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Monday, April 9 • 3:30pm - 3:45pm
SYMPOSIA-02: Assessing the Potential Influence of Zero-Deforestation Commitments on Tropical Land Cover

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AUTHORS: Rachael Garrett, Kimberly Carlson, Nelson Villoria, Samuel Levy, Rodrigo Rivera, Toby Gardner, Javier Godar – Boston University

ABSTRACT: Expansion of globally traded food commodities is the leading cause of tropical forest loss. Recent campaigns by NGOs have incentivized major food retailers, processors, and traders to make commitments to exclude products associated with deforestation from their supply chains. These commitments take myriad forms and the impacts of small changes in commitment design (e.g. deforestation cut off dates, implementation timelines, and monitoring and reporting mechanisms) remain unclear. Our research examines how differences in the design of zero-deforestation commitments influences their potential impact on tropical land cover. First, we develop a new conceptual framework for understanding which design factors are likely to be critical for effectively protecting forests from agricultural expansion. We then explore these hypotheses relative to a business as usual scenario using a transformative modeling framework that captures both global governance and market telecouplings. Specifically, we soft-couple a high resolution land use and land cover change model (built in Dinamica) that integrates regional supply chain and zero-deforestation commitment data to a global equilibrium model (GTAP) to assess spillovers from adoption of zero-deforestation commitments in South America throughout the global food system.

Monday April 9, 2018 3:30pm - 3:45pm CDT
LaSalle 5 (7th Floor)

Attendees (4)